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Local Transport Plan

9.7 AQMA Mandatory Indicator and Monitoring Process

9.7.1 Monitoring Process for Lancashires AQMAs

In addition to LTP8, each Lancashire AQMA will be monitored individually and the results, combined with outcomes, will be included in Annual Progress Reports. This reporting will use traffic data with a base year of 2004/5 and a target year of 2010/11.

Diffusion tubes are the preferred method of obtaining accurate air quality data. A comparison of observed and modelled results shows that diffusion tubes provide a consistent approach for all Lancashire’s AQMAs, whilst calculated results do not provide a true representation of air quality. Local influences were deemed the source of the differences in concentration levels. Modelling, however, is required to determine the impact of measures from the ‘do nothing’ scenario.

Air quality is modelled using the DMRB Screening Method 1.02 and the results are used to determine the net differences between a ‘do nothing’ and a ‘do something’ scenario. The ‘do something’ includes the effects on air quality from identified packages of work which will form part of the Action Plan of an AQMA. This procedure has been undertaken for Lancaster. As other Action Plan measures are finalised and agreed through consultation, their impacts will be calculated and used to update Lancaster's mandatory indicator and trajectory. This process will be replicated for all AQMAs and included in Annual Progress Reports.

9.7.2 Observed Air Quality Data NOx

Air quality is continuously monitored using diffusion tubes and the results are published by Local Authorities. Diffusion tube locations are carefully chosen to represent an AQMA. Tubes are located either mid link or near the critical junction, dependent on the AQMA. They are generally attached to lampposts or buildings at a height of 2 metres. However, in isolated locations concentrations may be higher or lower than those observed. To take account of over and under-read diffusion tubes, all results are bias corrected to establish their annual mean.

The current trajectory is based on 2 years continuous monitored data. When the results for 2005 (bias corrected) are available, they will be used to update the ‘do nothing’ trajectory.

9.7.3 Traffic Flow

Traffic flow into each AQMA will be monitored between 07:00 and 10:00, as for indicator LTP6. The Average Annual Daily Flow on AQMA links will also be monitored .

Where an AQMA includes highway links that are monitored for indicator LTP6, or are a continuation of those links, it is expected that the LTP6 target will be exceeded. On these links the Council will aim to have no increase in traffic flows during the peak period with a slight reduction during the peak hour. On other links that form AQMAs it is expected that the LTP6 target will be achieved.

9.7.4 Air Quality and Traffic Flows in Lancashire

The following table is the summary of the air quality and traffic data within AQMAs. Where available, individual trajectories are shown. To indicate the overall level of success in improving air quality within Lancashire, combined air quality within Lancashire's AQMAs has been calculated, giving a Lancashire trajectory. A graphical representation of the Lancashire average exposure per resident to oxides of nitrogen is included in the AQMA section in the District chapters.

Table 9.7.4


Air Quality and Traffic Flows on Primary Links within AQMAs


Location and
Population
within AQMA


Traffic Flow and
Air Quality


2003/4 Observed


2004/5
Base year


Trajectory


2005/6


2006/7


2007/8


2008/9


2009/10


2010/11


Lancaster (Action Planning not complete)


City Centre Gyratory

Population 455


NOx mg/m 3


43


41


41


40.8


40.6


40.4


40.2


40.1


AADF


NB

SB



20200

16190


20200

16110


20031

15941


19862

15772


19693

15603


19524

15434


18024

16934


7-10am



3620


3560


3445


3330


3215


3100


3427


Preston (Action Planning in early stages)


Ringway
Church Street
Junction
a=North of Junction
b=South of Junction
Population 105


NOx mg/m 3


41


41








AADF


a

b



37180

26130








7-10am


a

b



3250

2230


3250

2230


3250

2230


3250

2230


3250

2230


3250

2230


3250

2230


Blackpool Road
Plungington Road
a=South of Junction
b=East of Junction
c=West of Junction
Population 38


NOx mg/m 3


36


43








AADF


a

b

c



8510

13970

11980








7-10am


a

b

c



980

1550

1650


990

1565

1666


1000

1581

1683


1010

1597

1700


1020

1613

1717


1030

1629

1734


1040

1645

1751


South Ribble  (Action Planning in early stages)

A59 Liverpool Road
Priory Lane
Cop Lane (2)


a=West of Junction
b=North of Junction
c=South of Junction
Population 155


NOx mg/m 3


25 (3)


26








AADF


a

b

c



28430

2430

8240








7-10am


a

b

c



4460

180

1010


4505

182

1020


4550

184

1030


4595

185

1041


4651

187

1051


4687

189

1061


4734

191

1072


London Road
Victoria Road
Population 134


NOx mg/m 3


50 (3)


53








AADF



37950


37580







7-10am



6270


6260


6260


6260


6260


6260


6260


Leyland Road
Brownedge Road
a=North of Junction
b=South of Junction
Population 229


NOx mg/m 3


36 (3)


38








AADF


a

b



12800

8720








7-10am


a

b



1680

790


1697

798


1714

806


1731

814


1748

822


1766

830


1783

838


Station Road (2)

Population 425


NOx mg/m 3


32 (3)


33








AADF




17100







7-10am




1579


1595


1611


1627


1643


1659


Lancashire Combined (Average)

Average Exposure per Resident (4)


NOx m g/m 3


DO


42


42


44


46


47


49


51


53


RR


45


45


43


41


40

Notes
AADF=Annual Average Daily Flow 2 way, except Lancaster which operates as a gyratory
7-10am=Inbound flow only
DO=Do nothing (applies the Lancashire average current rate of air quality change)
RR=Required reduction to satisfy National Air Quality Strategy objectives
(1) Measures include only those indicated in the Lancaster chapter. Further measures that will be included in the developed Action Plan.
(2) AQMAs excluded from average exposure calculation as they would artificially reduce overall values.
(3) Values estimated.
(4) Average Exposure per AQMA resident uses the following equation and is applied to each assessed year.



where n=number of AQMA
and Pop=population of each AQMA.

9.7.5 LTP8: Lancaster Mean Resident Exposure Reduction within AQMA

The following table indicates the calculated air quality impacts from packages of work on the City Centre AQMA. The impact of other schemes will be included when the Action Plan is accepted. A number of the identified schemes in the District Chapters have secondary benefits to air quality. In Lancaster, the Heysham M6 link benefits particular corridors including both river crossings but has only a slight impact on town centre movements and air quality.

Table 9.7.5a


Lancaster: Annual Mean Resident Exposure Reduction within AQMA


Package/Scheme


Reduction NOx m g/m 3


Heysham M6 Link


0.1


Lancaster City Centre Air Quality Zone


To be determined


Cycling Demonstration Project


0.1


Personalised Travel Planning


0.3


Morecambe West End Neighbourhood Scheme


Not Applicable


Park and Ride


0.4


ITS


Not Applicable


Total


0.9

The above impacts have been included in the ‘do-something’ trajectory which assumes that traffic growth is restrained and that the measures implemented reduce the AADF. The ‘do-nothing’ trajectory assumes the AADF growth will occur at the same rate as per the previous 5 years. Currently this is 0.2% increase per year.

Improvements to vehicle and fuel technology should make an important contribution to the improvement of air quality within AQMAs. However, their contribution is not being relied upon and their benefits are not included. If the technology benefits were taken into account, they would have sufficient impact to meet air quality objectives in a number of Lancashire’s AQMAs.

The following summary table contains Lancaster's observed annual mean exposure concentration and trajectories for both 'do nothing' and 'do something' situations. The 'do nothing' includes a factored Lancashire trajectory as a comparison. The table also includes the percentage change from base year. The year on year changes will be included in the Annual Progress Reports to showing the level of success in achieving the required change that satisfies the air quality objectives.

Table 9.7.5b


LTP8 Air Quality in Lancaster


Annual Mean Resident Exposure Reduction within AQMA m g/m 3



2003/4
Observed


2004/5
Base year


Trajectory


Notes


2005/6


2006/7


2007/8


2008/9


2009/10


2010/11


Lancaster
observed


43


41


N/A







Observed data 2005 not yet available


Lancaster
do nothing



41


41.0


41.1


41.1


41.1


41.2


41.2


Observed base value with calculated year on year traffic growth using DMRB


Lancashire
do nothing



41


43


44


46


48


50


52


Lancashire average trend factored to Lancaster’s base year


Lancaster
do something



41


41


40.8


40.6


40.4


40.2


40.1


Includes the impacts of the identified Lancaster District packages/schemes. Assumes uniform reduction over time.


Changes in Annual Mean Resident Exposure within AQMA % change from base year



2004/5


2005/6


Trajectory


% Increase per year


2006/7


2007/8


2008/9


2009/10


2010/11


Min


Max


Ave


Lancashire
do nothing


0


3.7


7.3


12.2


17.1


22


26.8


3.6


4.8


4.5


Lancaster
do nothing


0


0


0.2


0.2


0.2


0.5


0.5


0.0


0.3


0.1


Lancaster
do something


0


0


-0.5


-1.0


-1.5


-2.0


-2.4


-0.4


-0.5


-0.4

9.7.6 Risk Management of Air Quality Projects

Our Risk Management Strategy is described in detail in section 6.2. This overriding strategy will ensure that we deliver our air quality and other targets.

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