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Employment, Self-Employment and Economic Activity from the Annual Population Survey

December 2008


National Performance Indicator NI 151: Overall Employment Rate (Working Age)

Central Government has set (External) 198 priority measures for local government . The employment rate measures a local area's contribution towards the aspiration to achieve full employment, and helps to measure progress on reducing worklessness.

It is the proportion of the working age population (16-59 for females and 16-64 for males) who are in employment according to the International Labour Organisation definition. The information for the indicator is derived from the Annual Population Survey (APS). Table 1 details local working age employment rates from the APS.

Details of results for the national indicators can be found on the (External) Floor Targets Interactive section of the of the Communities and Local Government website.

Introduction

The Annual Population Survey (APS) is a survey of households in Great Britain with the purpose to provide information on key social and socio-economic variables between the 10-yearly censuses. The results in this research monitor are based on findings from the APS and from its predecessor the Labour Force Survey.

The complete range of available data sets from the Annual Population Survey for all areas of the country can be downloaded from the (External) NOMIS website . This particular article looks at local employment, self-employment and economic activity results from the APS.

For the year to June 2008, there were a total of 280,128 people surveyed in Great Britain, with 6,160 of these interviews taking place in the broader Lancashire area. Broken down by the individual authorities, just over half the Lancashire interviews were undertaken in the two unitary authorities of Blackburn with Darwen and Blackpool.

National and Regional Context

The employment rate is one of the economic indicators that economists use to help understand the state of the economy. In this article the employment rate is presented as the proportion of the population of working age (16-59 for females and 16-64 for males) who are in employment. Other things being equal, regions or areas with higher employment rates are more likely to have higher standards of living because they will have a higher percentage of the population generating income.

The six-year period from 2002 to 2007 reveals that at the national level, the employment rate has remained relatively stable at around 74.2% to 74.5%. In comparison, for the North West region employment rates over the same period have consistently been below 73%, with the latest 2007 result being 72.3%.

Lancashire

For the 14-district Lancashire NUTS-2 area, that includes the two unitary authorities of Blackburn with Darwen and Blackpool, the six-year period saw employment rates occupy the middle ground between the higher GB rates and the lower North West rates. Given the sample size of the Labour Force Survey, it is only possible to derive a broad indication of employment rates at the broader Lancashire level rather than to be able to accurately monitor yearly changes.

The problem of data accuracy becomes far more acute at the local authority level therefore the district and unitary authority results should be viewed with extreme caution. At the district level, the sample size can be quite small, e.g., the 2007 result for Rossendale was based on just 161 respondents.

The broad indications are that high employment rates appear to be consistently recorded in Chorley, Fylde Ribble Valley and South Ribble, whilst the East Lancashire authorities of Blackburn with Darwen, Hyndburn, Burnley and Pendle have patterns of low employment rates. Blackpool also has a recorded pattern of low employment rates.

Table 1 Working-Age Employment Rates, 2002-2007
 
Employment Rate
Working-Age Population
In Employment
Total
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Jan 2007-Dec 2007
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Burnley
72.2
77.3
70.7
70.4
70.4
63.4
33,900
53,400
Chorley
79.0
78.0
78.2
79.2
84.3
76.0
48,900
64,400
Fylde
74.1
76.2
76.9
76.8
76.5
82.0
35,000
42,700
Hyndburn
71.3
75.8
71.7
68.2
68.0
63.3
31,300
49,400
Lancaster
72.1
71.6
64.0
72.4
71.3
75.0
67,900
90,400
Pendle
69.6
79.2
70.1
71.2
70.1
71.1
39,100
55,000
Preston
74.2
72.3
70.7
66.8
70.8
71.7
59,700
83,300
Ribble Valley
81.7
80.4
77.6
82.1
83.8
85.2
29,500
34,600
Rossendale
76.2
87.1
76.9
74.8
74.0
75.3
31,200
41,400
South Ribble
79.6
81.2
81.4
81.4
81.5
81.4
53,500
65,800
West Lancashire
74.8
74.7
74.6
76.6
72.7
75.8
50,300
66,400
Wyre
74.9
80.5
79.4
77.3
73.5
80.6
50,500
62,700
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Lancashire County
74.8
77.2
73.8
74.3
74.3
74.8
530,800
709,500
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Blackburn with Darwen
67.4
69.9
69.9
68.4
67.1
67.6
57,900
85.600
Blackpool
71.7
70.0
71.6
71.4
69.9
67.3
55,400
82,400
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Lancashire NUTS-2
73.8
75.8
73.2
73.7
73.2
73.4
644,100
877,500
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
North West
71.4
72.8
72.6
72.6
72.5
72.3
3,047,200
4,214,100
Great Britain
74.2
74.3
74.4
74.5
74.3
74.4
27,140,200
36,491,900
Notes Working-age population figures are rounded estimates.
Figures are not seasonally adjusted.
Data for 2002 and 2003 actually relate to the period March to February in the following year. For 2004-2007, the figures are for January to December for each year.
Source Office for National Statistics, NOMIS

Self-Employment, Historical Context and Recent Results

At the national level, self-employment as a proportion of the adult population has grown over the last twenty years. The period 1986 to 1990 in particular saw a high rate of growth with the proportion rising from 6.3% to 7.9%. This growth in self-employment in the 1980s was attributed to government incentives such as the small business start-up scheme, the growth in long-term unemployment, the expansion of the service sector, where self-employment is more prevalent, coupled with the decline in manufacturing, and the shift towards contracting-out of services by large employers.

In general, the self-employed are more commonly associated with skilled trade occupations, e.g. in the Construction sector, also business activity industries such as Banking, Finance and Insurance. There is also a geographic tendency towards higher self-employment levels in London and the South East.

Self-employment is generally entered into most frequently after the age of 30. This is partly due to the need for people to acquire sufficient experience and financial resources. The proportion of the self-employed therefore is found to increase with age, especially for those over the retirement ages of 59/64.

Table 2 Self-Employment as a Percentage of All People Aged 16+ in Employment, 2004-June 2008
 
Lancashire County
Lancashire NUTS-2
Great Britain
No.
%
No.
%
No.
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Jan 2004-Dec 2004
62,500
11.9
76,600
11.9
3,422,100
12.6
Apr 2004-Mar 2005
64,100
12.2
78,500
12.2
3,460,300
12.7
Jul 2004-Jun 2005






Oct 2004-Sep 2005
63,100
11.9
77,000
11.9
3,495,600
12.8
Jan 2005-Dec 2005
65,700
12.4
78,100
12.0
3,511,200
12.8
Apr 2005-Mar 2006
67,500
12.7
79,600
12.3
3,527,900
12.9
Jul 2005-Jun 2006
70,400
13.2
82,500
12.7
3,530,300
12.9
Oct 2005-Sep 2006
68,100
12.8
81,200
12.5
3,560,800
13.0
Jan 2006-Dec 2006
61,700
11.6
75,900
11.7
3,572,400
13.0
Apr 2006-Mar 2007
62,800
11.7
77,700
11.8
3,654,000
13.0
Jul 2006-Jun 2007
63,800
11.7
79,400
12.0
3,668,000
13.0
Oct 2006-Sep 2007
65,700
12.0
80,200
12.0
3,674,200
13.0
Jan 2007-Dec 2007
63,200
11.5
77,700
11.6
3,693,300
13.0
Apr 2007-Mar 2008
64,100
11.6
77,800
11.6
3,726,700
13.1
Jul 2007-Jun 2008
64,600
11.6
77,000
11.4
3,724,600
13.1
Note Figures unavailable for July 2004-June 2005.
Source ONS - Labour Force Survey/Annual Population Survey, NOMIS

Table 2 has self-employment data for Great Britain and the two Lancashire areas. For the past few years at the national level, the Annual Population Survey figures have estimated the rate of self-employment to be around 13.0%. For the Lancashire County Council area (NUTS-3) area, and the broader Lancashire NUTS-2 area that includes the two unitary authorities, the impression is of noticeably lower self-employment rates than the GB average.

Employment Rates by Ethnicity

Table 3 lists the APS employment numbers and rates by six ethnic groups for the 14-authority Lancashire NUTS-2 area, and for Great Britain. The white ethnic group predominates at both the national and county levels. The Lancashire figures reveal the low estimates classified under the 'Black' and 'Mixed' headings. The relatively small numbers classified to the various other ethnic minority groups at the county level mean that these local figures should be used as nothing more than very general guides. The numbers and percentages are subject to large margins of error.

At the national and Lancashire levels of note is the low activity rate for Pakistani/Bangladeshi. This may in part be attributable to cultural factors that reduce the propensity for woman from this ethnic group to consider paid employment. The Indian and White ethnic groups recorded the highest employment rates.

Table 3 Working-Age Employment Rate by Ethnic Group, July 2007 to June 2008
Ethnic group
Great Britain
Lancashire NUTS-2
No.
%
No.
%
 
 
 
 
 
White
24,742,500
76.3
608,400
75.1
Mixed
194,900
62.8
2,100
96.1
Indian
593,300
70.3
15,100
62.6
Pakistani/Bangladeshi
371,200
46.2
13,500
48.4
Black
603,800
63.5
1,500
67.3
Other
755,100
61.9
7,000
57.0
Source Annual Population Survey

Economic Activity Rates

The APS results for the percentage of working people who are economically active reveal that activity rates in the broader Lancashire area have been consistently below the national average of around 78.6%. Excluding the two unitaries, the figures for the Lancashire County Council area are in most instances between the lower Lancashire NUTS-2 results and the higher rates recorded at the national level. The past three set of results however have been in excess of the national rate.

Economic activity rates incorporate people who are seeking work but who may not have a job. They are therefore higher than the employment rates detailed in Table 1.

Table 4 Percentage of Working-Age People Who Are Economically Active, 2000 to June 2008
 
Lancashire NUTS-2
Lancashire County
Great Britain
 
 
 
 
Jan 2004-Dec 2004
76.8
77.3
78.2
Apr 2004-Mar 2005
76.7
77.2
78.3
Jul 2004-Jun 2005



Oct 2004-Sep 2005
77.2
77.7
78.4
Jan 2005-Dec 2005
77.4
78.1
78.4
Apr 2005-Mar 2006
77.1
78.0
78.3
Jul 2005- Jun 2006
77.3
78.2
78.4
Oct 2005-Sep 2006
77.1
78.0
78.4
Jan 2006-Dec 2006
77.0
77.9
78.6
Apr 2006-Mar 2007
76.5
77.3
78.6
Jul 2006-Jun 2007
77.0
78.1
78.6
Oct 2006-Sep 2007
77.3
78.5
78.6
Jan 2007-Dec 2007
77.7
79.0
78.6
Apr 2007-Mar 2008
77.8
79.2
78.7
Jul 2007-Jun 2008
78.2
79.6
78.8
Note Figures unavailable for July 2004-June 2005.
Source ONS - Labour Force Survey/Annual Population Survey, NOMIS

This page was compiled by Bryan Moulding .

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