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Employment in Central Lancashire

June 2004

Introduction

Central Lancashire is defined to include the four County Districts of Chorley, Preston, South Ribble and West Lancashire. The first three districts share a high degree of economic cohesion with strong residence and workplace trip linkages. West Lancashire, and particularly the major town of Skelmersdale, shares many of the general structural characteristics of the Central Lancashire sub-region but is slightly set apart because of strong economic linkages both with Merseyside and Greater Manchester as well as with other employment centres in Central Lancashire itself.

The Central Lancashire area recorded a resident mid-year population 2002 estimated at 444,300 or 31% of the Lancashire sub-region total. It has a strong and diverse economic base that for many years has been a powerhouse for jobs growth in the county. Benefiting from its location astride the main north/south transport routes, the sub-region today has a broad structure of industry that is not too dissimilar from the national pattern.

Long-term Employment Patterns


Employment in Central Lancashire

Central Lancashire's traditional strengths lay very much in the production industries with the earliest employment records for 1929 showing 65% of the insured workforce being engaged in manufacturing and just a fifth in services. However, the area was never quite as dependent on textiles as many other parts of the county and assisted by new activities established to aid the war effort, throughout post-war years managed a successful diversification into many new industries, including aerospace, motor vehicles and electrical and mechanical equipment as well as some of the non-engineering sectors. At the same time, service industries expanded steadily providing many further new job opportunities.

Alongside its production industry dominated base, traditionally the sub-region had a high degree of dependency on large plant enterprises. Individually these often employed many thousands of people and included such companies as the Leyland Motor Corporation, the British Aircraft Corporation, Royal Ordnance, Baxi Heating, General Electric, Courtaulds and many others. Post-1970, but particularly post-1980, as major restructuring and downsizing programmes were implemented, this proved a major handicap with the area receiving successive shocks from large scale closures and redundancies. Since 1970 some 45,000 manufacturing jobs have disappeared (or have been reclassified) in Central Lancashire reducing the sector's share of total jobs from 45% to only 13% in 2002. However, over the same period service industries created more than 89,000 new jobs, increasing its share of total employment from 45% to 78%.

Recent Employment Trends

Buoyant local growth in employment across a wide range of sectors over the mid- to late 1980s gave way to a severe downturn in the first half of the 1990s as the impact of the so-called "Peace Dividend" began to bite and as some of the sub-region's largest industrial employers highly dependent on defence work were forced into major restructuring and downsizing programmes in a bid to improve competitiveness. The energy and water supply sectors, now comprising privatised utilities, also under-went a bout of major rationalisation. This was a highly traumatic period involving many thousands of industrial job losses. In spite of the severe impact on many individuals, the area itself, however, appears to have quickly adapted to many of these losses undergoing a rapid recovery phased fuelled by new job opportunities in services.

Over the latest five-year period 1998-2002 Central Lancashire's employee workforce has grown to a total of over 209,000, an all-time high (Table 1). The net increase of 22,600 or 12.1% was well in excess of that achieved both nationally and in the North West Region. Many sectors contributed to this encouraging out-turn but most notable were continuing gains in Business Activities, a marked acceleration in Construction and expansion in Education.

Table 1 Central Lancashire Employee Jobs, 1998-2002
 
1998
2002
Change 1998-2002
2002
No.
%
% Share
 
 
 
 
 
 
Agriculture, forestry, fishing
4,000
3,100
-900
-21.8
1.5
Mining, energy & water
900
600
-300
-38.5
0.3
Manufacturing
34,100
27,500
-6,600
-19.2
13.1
Construction
8,700
14,700
6,000
69.0
7.0
Wholesale & retail distribution
37,500
37,600
200
0.5
18.0
Hotels & restaurants
11,200
12,200
1,000
8.8
5.8
Transport & communication
11,300
12,700
1,500
13.1
6.1
Financial intermediation
5,400
5,500
100
1.3
2.6
Real Estate, business activities
19,900
29,100
9,200
46.4
13.9
Public administration & defence
12,200
15,200
3,100
25.4
7.3
Education
15,000
19,400
4,400
29.3
9.3
Health & social work
21,100
22,200
1,200
5.6
10.6
Other services
5,800
9,500
3,800
65.8
4.6
 
 
 
 
 
 
ALL EMPLOYEE JOBS
186,900
209,500
22,600
12.1
100.0
 
 
 
 
 
 
LANCASHIRE NUTS-2
566,300
599,600
33,300
5.9

 
 
 
 
 
 
North West (thousands)
2,799.4
2,974.1
174.7
6.7

 
 
 
 
 
 
Great Britain (thousands)
24,358.4
25,548.1
1,189.7
4.9

Source ONS - Annual Business Inquiry
Note Numbers may not sum due to rounding

Within the sub-region jobs growth was strongest in Chorley and South Ribble (Table 2). In spite of a pause in employment growth in Preston over the early part of the period due in some measure to local government reorganisation, job creation here has also recently accelerated and the City remains by far the largest single work centre in the County. It has moved a long way from its industrial roots and today nearly 84% of its employees are engaged in services. This reflects the importance of the town as an office, administrative and commercial centre for Lancashire, attracting daily commuters from all parts of the County and beyond.

Table 2 Employee Job Change by District, 1998-2002
 
1998
2002
Change 1998-2002
No.
%
 
 
 
 
 
Chorley
31,500
39,900
8,400
+26.9
Preston
78,700
86,400
7,700
+9.8
South Ribble
36,400
42,200
5,800
+15.8
West Lancashire
40,300
41,000
+700
+1.7
 
 
 
 
 
CENTRAL LANCASHIRE
186,900
209,500
22,600
+12.1
Source ONS - Annual Business Inquiry

Industrial Structure Characteristics

Manufacturing industry, which for many years has taken the brunt of job losses in the sub-region recorded a further decline over the 1998-2002 period. An additional 6,600 jobs (-19.2%) were lost over the period resulting in total employment in the sector falling to a low of 27,500. The industry as a whole now accounts for only 13.1% of employee jobs in Central Lancashire (against 27% as recently as 1989). This share is now fractionally below the national average of 13.4%, and locally ranges from just 8.5% in Preston to 20.6% in South Ribble.

Within the manufacturing sector the engineering group of industries (SIC classifications 27 -35) continues to have a strong presence, accounting for about 42% of all manufacturing jobs in the sub-region. Though to a far lesser extent than hitherto, these industries are still heavily influenced by a few large establishments of national and multi-national companies. They include Motor Vehicles (3,000 jobs) - for instance, Leyland Trucks and Albion Automotive; Machinery & Equipment (2,800 jobs) - e.g. Goss Graphic Systems, Royal Ordnance; Fabricated Metal Products (2,700 jobs) - e.g. Baxi Heating, Bosal UK; and Electrical & Optical Equipment (2,500 jobs) - e.g. Alstom Traction and Marconi Communications. Other than engineering, the largest manufacturing sectors in the area are Food & Beverages and Paper, Printing & Publishing.

Amongst other primary and production industries agricultural employment remains important particularly in West Lancashire District, though job numbers continue to fall steadily year-on-year. In contrast, there has been a huge surge in jobs associated with the construction industry with total employment increasing by 6,000 or by more than two-thirds between 1998-2002 to reach 14,700. New public investment in education and health capital projects together with buoyant housing and commercial markets have all contributed to this major up-turn. The two major employers in this sector are the AMEC Group in Adlington, and Enterprise plc, based in Leyland.

It is the service sector, which now provides the great proportion of local employee jobs opportunities, in 2002 accounting for over 78% of all jobs in the sub-region. The momentum of services growth continued apace between 1998-2002 with an additional 24,000 jobs (+17.5%) recorded over the period.

Over much of the 1990s consumer and business activities were key drivers of employment growth in Central Lancashire. Retail distribution was particularly buoyant, adding many thousands of new jobs. Business services too, including such activities as real estate, leasing, computer services, law, accountancy and labour recruitment also expanded at an unprecedented rate. Over the more recent period Business Activities have continued to expand apace with job numbers rising by over 9,000 (+47%), 1988-2002, but retail net jobs growth has virtually halted. The new drivers have reflected central government's large public expenditure programme. As well as its impact on the construction industry (see above) this has helped boost activity in key public service areas including education, health and public administration and defence (including judicial activities and public security, law and order). These three core "public service" areas (which include many services provided by the private sector) increased their employee job head count by nearly 9,000 or 18% between 1998-2002.

Whilst the overall expansion of such service sector employment directly reflected public expenditure and the secular growth of consumer and commercial services generally, it also mirrored to some extent job losses and structural changes experienced in manufacturing as part of the latter's tendency to hive-off and buy-in non-core service activities. The full impact of this "jobs transfer" is impossible to measure but appears to have been particularly strong in the computer and related activities sector, in legal accountancy and consultancy activities as well as in more routine services such as industrial cleaning, security and labour recruitment.

Many of the technical business services are of high calibre and often of a high tech or creative nature and where previously they were in-house and often served the needs of just the single company, are now marketed much more widely often on a national or even international basis. This movement towards the out-sourcing of specialised support services complements the increasing desire of many companies to employ staff on a more flexible basis.

Viewed in slightly greater detail, there were a number of individual service sectors that made an outstanding contribution to local jobs growth 1998-2002. Ranked in order of net new jobs created, these included the following:


8010
Primary education
7511
General (overall) public service activities
8514
Other human health activities
7460
Investigation and security activities
6412
Courier activities other than national post activities
7470
Industrial cleaning
7220
Software consultancy and supply
5242
Retail sale of clothing
7412
Accounting, book-keeping, auditing, etc.
9262
Other sporting activities
5530
Restaurants
7484
Other business activities nec
8030
Higher education
7450
Labour recruitment & provision of personnel
9305
Other service activities nec
5154
Wholesale of hardware, plumbing & heating equipment
7524
Public security, law & order activities
8532
Social work activities without accommodation
8042
Adult and other education nec
9261
Operation of sports arenas & stadiums
9302
Hairdressing & other beauty treatment
7020
Letting of own property
6330
Activities of travel agencies, tour operators, etc.
Table 3 Estimated Employee Jobs by District, 1929-2002
 
Chorley
Preston
South Ribble
West Lancashire
CENTRAL LANCASHIRE
 
 
 
 
 
 
1929
23,400
67,700
18,400
9,000
118,400
1939
25,200
69,500
19,300
10,500
124,500
1943
32,400
67,900
17,200
11,700
129,200
1944
28,300
65,200
17,000
10,300
120,800
1945
26,500
60,600
16,800
10,200
114,000
1946
22,100
69,000
17,800
11,800
120,700
1947
22,600
74,900
18,400
11,700
127,600
1948
24,900
87,000
20,900
13,300
146,100
1950
25,200
87,800
21,400
13,300
147,700
1951
25,100
87,900
21,300
13,500
147,800
1952
28,600
83,200
23,200
14,200
149,100
1953
28,300
80,600
23,300
13,500
145,600
1954
29,700
80,800
23,900
13,500
147,900
1955
28,300
81,400
24,300
13,800
147,700
1956
28,000
83,500
25,200
13,800
150,400
1957
27,400
84,000
24,900
13,700
150,000
1958
27,100
82,800
24,800
14,100
148,800
1959
27,300
84,100
24,100
13,600
149,100
1960
27,500
83,900
25,100
13,500
150,000
1961
26,700
85,400
25,400
13,600
151,000
1962
26,300
84,800
25,400
13,700
150,200
1963
25,500
85,200
24,600
14,300
149,600
1964
24,500
86,900
25,100
14,500
151,000
1965
24,300
84,400
26,600
15,700
150,900
1966
25,000
83,100
26,400
18,300
152,700
1967
23,400
84,300
26,600
20,700
155,000
1968
24,500
85,300
26,200
21,900
157,900
1969
25,800
87,300
27,000
22,900
163,000
1970
24,300
86,100
27,800
25,500
163,800
1971
23,300
83,200
28,200
27,100
161,800
1972
22,400
83,100
27,500
27,800
160,800
1973
23,100
78,200
30,600
29,900
161,800
1974
23,600
77,100
31,400
31,700
163,900
1975
23,100
74,900
33,600
32,200
163,800
1976
24,500
72,400
34,400
30,900
162,100
1977
24,600
76,200
33,100
29,900
163,700
1978
25,500
73,300
35,000
30,500
164,200
1981
24,600
70,700
34,100
31,100
160,500
1984
24,000
65,000
33,300
32,000
154,400
1987
24,400
68,400
33,200
33,000
159,000
1989
27,600
71,500
35,000
34,800
168,900
1991
29,000
68,000
31,000
36,600
164,600
1993
27,600
68,300
30,500
36,800
163,100
1995
29,100
78,500
33,600
38,800
179,800
1996
29,300
81,000
34,300
39,200
183,800
1997
30,400
81,300
34,900
40,400
187,000
1998
31,400
78,700
36,400
40,300
186,800
1999
32,400
78,700
37,800
39,200
188,200
2000
36,100
78,900
39,700
39,6700
194,300
2001
37,500
82,700
40,800
40,600
201,600
2002
39,900
86,400
42,200
41,000
209,500
Note Pre-1971 data based on best fit of local employment exchange areas. The introduction of the new Annual Business Inquiry and the re-scaling of earlier years' estimates back to 1995 introduced a major discontinuity into the long-term data series, apparently adding between 5-6,000 employees across East Lancashire not previously identified in the Census of Employment/Annual Employment Survey. The more recent estimates accord more closely with results from the national Labour Force Surveys.
Source Ministry of Labour/ONS - ERII Employment Records Employee Jobs

This page was compiled by Peter Kivell .

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