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Local Gross Value Added
2006

December 2008


Summary

The estimated sum of incomes earned from the production of goods and services in the Lancashire NUTS-2 area in 2006 amounted to almost £22bn. This represented nearly a fifth (19.4%) of the North West Region total and 1.9% of the UK figure. For the smaller Lancashire County Council Area the value was some £18.2bn.

In 1997, Gross Value Added per head in the Lancashire NUTS-2 area was 85% of the national average. By 2006, the rate had fallen to 80%.

Over a number of years, the dramatic growth of the financial services industry in the capital has had a major impact on the overall value of the UK economy. This is a significant reason why the pace of increase of the local economy has not been able to keep up with the national trend.

Photograph of some money

Introduction

Gross Value Added (GVA) is an indicator of wealth creation, measuring the contribution to the economy of each producer, industry or sector and is generally regarded as the best measure of the sum of economic activity within an area. It is an important measure in the estimation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) when using the "production" or "income" approaches and is now used to determine regional and sub-regional estimates of wealth creation that were originally termed Gross Domestic Product by the Office for National Statistics. In essence, the link between GVA and GDP can be defined as GVA plus taxes on products, less subsidies on products equals GDP.

Viewed over time, GVA can be used as a conventional measure of economic growth. However, whilst often used as a broad measure of economic and social wellbeing, the GVA/GDP measures are far from perfect. As well as the "black economy" which escapes the output and income measures of GVA, it also does not include, for example, transfer payments such as social security and pensions, or allowances for household or voluntary work nor aspects like leisure time availability, income inequality or the quality of the environment, all of which are thought to be important factors in determining a nation's wellbeing.

A further consideration is that local sub-regional estimates measure GVA on a workplace basis. This means that income from the employment of commuters is allocated to the area in which they work rather than where they live. (In 2001 the Census of population recorded a net outflow of commuters from Lancashire to other work centres of 21,400). Often a better guide to prosperity at the sub-regional level is provided by estimates of gross disposable household incomes .

The most recent official local estimates of GVA are for 2006 and are geographically based on European-defined statistical units – the so-called "Nomenclature of Units for Territorial Statistics" (NUTS). In the case of Lancashire, for example, the County of Lancashire together with the two unitary authorities of Blackburn with Darwen and Blackpool comprise a sub-regional NUTS-2 area. Each of the three areas are also separately NUTS-3 or "local areas".

The GVA figures provided for each area are (unless otherwise stated) "headline" figures – that is to say, they have been calculated using a five-year moving average based trend of the unadjusted estimates for each region. The estimates are also (unless stated) at current basic prices and do not allow for changes in prices over time (inflation) or differences in regional price levels (purchasing power.

Results for all parts of the UK may be obtained directly from the (External) National Statistics website .

Total Gross Value Added

The estimated sum of incomes earned from the production of goods and services in the Lancashire NUTS-2 area in 2006 amounted to almost £22bn (Table 1). This sum represented nearly a fifth (19.4%) of the North West Region total or 1.9% of the United Kingdom figure. Within the North West, Lancashire’s GVA contribution was higher that that of Cheshire (£20.8bn), Cumbria (£7.0bn) or Merseyside (£18.4bn) but only approaching half that of Greater Manchester (£44.8bn). Within the three Northern regions of England, the Lancashire sub-region's GVA was exceeded by Greater Manchester, West Yorkshire and was not far behind the figure for Northumberland and Tyne and Wear.

Table 1 Gross Value Added, 1997-2006
 
Headline gross value added (£million at current basic prices) (1)
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Lancashire NUTS-2
14,834
15,412
16,037
16,693
17,562
18,383
19,360
20,311
21,917
21,956
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Lancashire County
11,995
12,494
13,035
13,603
14,349
15,066
15,924
16,771
17,291
18,195
Blackburn with Darwen
1,510
1,542
1,574
1,615
1,688
1,760
1,845
1,913
1,956
2,023
Blackpool
1,329
1,377
1,428
1,474
1,525
1,557
1,591
1,627
1,670
1,738
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
North West
74,944
78,860
82,256
85,196
89,333
93,627
98,804
103,630
107,375
112,955
United Kingdom
739,524
781,986
822,774
864,285
907,594
957,594
1,015,008
1,068,574
1,150,121
1,177,232
(1) The headline GVA figures have been calculated using a five-period moving average in order to remove some year-to-year volatility in the unadjusted series.
Source ONS - Local Gross Value Added

In absolute terms, the Lancashire sub-region's contribution to national wealth creation in 2006 was the 21st largest out of the 37 UK NUTS-2 regions in a range that extended from Inner London (£157.1bn) to the Highlands and Islands (£6.2bn). Some £18.2bn or nearly 83% of the Lancashire NUTS-2 GVA was generated in Lancashire County with the remainder divided between the two unitary authorities of Blackburn with Darwen with a share of 9.2% and Blackpool with 7.9%.

Gross Value Added per Head

A more useful and comparative measure of economic wellbeing, and implicitly of general living standards (before allowing for transfer payments), can be made in terms of "GVA per head of population". For the UK as a whole, excluding Extra-Regio, average (compensation of employees and gross operating surplus which cannot be assigned to regions) GVA per head of population in 2006 was £18,945 whilst across the UK it exhibits wide disparities. Amongst the 37 NUTS-2 sub-regions Inner London not unexpectedly had the highest level of GVA per head in 2006, at more than two and a half times the UK average. Overall, productivity in Inner London was nearly 4.4 times higher than that in the least productive area, Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly.

Aside from Inner London, other NUTS-2 areas of high value added per head in 2006 together with those at the lower end of the rankings are shown in Table 2.

Table 2 NUTS-2 Regions: Top Five and Bottom Five by GVA per Head, 2006
 
GVA per head (£)
GVA per head index (UK=100)
 
 
 
Top five GVA per head
 
 
Inner London
52,857
279
Berkshire, Buckinghamshire and Oxfordshire
25,789
136
North Eastern Scotland
24,550
130
Gloucestershire, Wiltshire and North Somerset
20,869
110
Bedfordshire and Hertfordshire
20,855
110
 
 
 
United Kingdom (1)
18,945
100
 
 
 
Lancashire NUTS-2
15,145
80
 
 
 
Bottom five GVA per head
 
 
Merseyside
13,615
72
Tees Valley and Durham
13,368
71
Lincolnshire
13,118
69
West Wales and the Valleys
12,071
64
Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly
11,939
63
(1) The UK figure (18,945) excludes GVA for Extra-Regio, which comprises compensation of employees and gross operating surplus that cannot be assigned to regions.
Source ONS - Local Gross Value Added

In the case of the Lancashire NUTS-2 area, GVA per head in 2006 was estimated at £15,145 (Table 3). This level was seven percentage points lower than that of the wider North West Region and only 80% of the United Kingdom average. In these terms, Lancashire ranked as a relatively modest lower middle ranking 25th out of the 37 NUTS-2 regions used by the Office for National Statistics, positioned between Kent in 24th place and East Riding and North Lincolnshire in 26th place.

GVA per head at the NUTS-3 level (principally individual counties and unitary authorities) revealed even greater variation. Inner London West had by far the largest sum with £93,144 followed some way behind by City of Edinburgh with £30,620 and Inner London East with £29,351. At the other extreme the Isle of Anglesey had the smallest GVA per head of population with just £10,560, followed by Gwent Valleys (£10,987) and Wirral (£11,199).

Rankings of the NUTS-3 areas in 2006 (out of 131 across the UK) place Lancashire County as 67th; Blackburn as 89th and Blackpool as 118th.

Changes over Time

Over the period from 1997 to 2006, the North West as a whole has undergone a modest decline in GVA relative to the UK over the past decade however in Lancashire the decline has been more dramatic. For the broader Lancashire NUTS 2 area, the relative position has declined from 85% of the UK average to just 80% in 2007. For the County Council area, the decline was from a figure of 86% to 82%, whilst for both Blackburn with Darwen and Blackpool the reductions have been more significant.

The strength of the economy of London has a dramatic influence on the overall UK average and is a major reason behind the relative decline in the Lancashire area. On the basis of these GVA estimates Lancashire continued to become a more prosperous place in which to both live and work over the period 1997 to 2006 even though its pace of economic progress relative to many other UK areas was far from sparkling. Over the ten-year period to 2006, total GVA in the Lancashire NUTS-2 area increased by around 44% in nominal (cash) terms. This was below the UK average of 53% as well as trailing the regional average of 49%.

Table 3 Gross Value Added per Head, 1997-2006
 
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GVA per head (£ at current basic prices)
Lancashire NUTS-2
10,508
10,910
11,367
11,804
12,392
12,928
13,531
14,109
14,460
15,145
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Lancashire County
10,640
11,066
11,540
12,008
12,625
13,212
13,869
14,510
14,878
15,608
Blackburn with Darwen
10,881
11,050
11,388
11,689
12,189
12,635
13,178
13,583
13,848
14,322
Blackpool
9,132
9,552
9,984
10,306
10,722
10,942
11,151
11,385
11,667
12,179
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
North West
11,030
11,610
12,145
12,576
13,190
13,813
14,529
15,196
15,699
16,482
United Kingdom (1)
12,682
13,373
14,020
14,677
15,353
16,133
17,043
17,855
18,512
19,430
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
GVA per head index (UK=100)
Lancashire NUTS-2
85
83
82
83
83
82
81
81
80
80
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Lancashire County
86
84
84
84
84
84
83
83
82
82
Blackburn with Darwen
88
84
83
82
81
80
79
78
77
76
Blackpool
73
73
72
72
71
69
67
65
64
64
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
North West
89
88
88
88
88
87
87
87
87
87
United Kingdom (1)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
(1) The UK figure for 2006 (19,430) includes GVA for Extra-Regio and is therefore higher than the number in Table 2 (18,945).
Source ONS - Local Gross Value Added

GVA by Industry Group

In interpreting these figures, it should be stressed that where an area relies heavily on output and employment on a particular sector or industry, its GVA is particularly sensitive to changes in the profitability of and employment in that industry. In Lancashire's case the importance of manufacturing generally and of the defence/aerospace industry in particular, has impacted disproportionately on local GVA figures for many years. Lancashire continues to have a high dependence on manufacturing (still accounting for 23% of Lancashire's GVA in 2006 compared with 13% in the UK - see Table 4).

In addition to the manufacturing sector, there are other sectors where Lancashire has a percentage share that is greater than the UK average, but none are of the same level of significance. The three service sectors of Public Administration, Education and Health and Social Work are together probably the next most significant and form 21.5% of the GVA Share in Lancashire against 18.5% for the UK as a whole.

The Financial intermediation and Real estate, renting and business activities sectors have spearheaded much growth across the UK, but together only contributed 19% of Lancashire's GVA in 2006 against around 32% nationally. It is therefore, an area of the economy where the county is not strong.

Table 4 Headline GVA by Industry Group, 2006
 
Headline gross value added (at current basic prices)
Lancashire NUTS-2
United Kingdom
£million
% share
£million
% share
 
 
 
 
 
Agriculture, hunting and forestry
207
0.94
7,869
0.69
Fishing
2
0.01
2,432
0.21
Mining and quarrying
24
0.11
2,112
0.18
Manufacturing
5,132
23.37
153,155
13.34
Electricity, gas and water supply
527
2.40
18,870
1.64
Construction
1,525
6.95
73,993
6.45
Wholesale and retail trades (including motor trades)
2,731
12.44
136,072
11.85
Hotels and restaurants
735
3.35
33,764
2.94
Transport, storage and communications
1,169
5.32
81,027
7.06
Financial intermediation
659
3.00
91,011
7.93
Real estate, renting and business activities
3,561
16.22
273,644
23.84
Public administration and defence
1,235
5.62
61,321
5.34
Education
1,582
7.21
69,345
6.04
Health and social work
1,903
8.67
81,883
7.13
Other services
964
4.39
61,368
5.35
 
 
 
 
 
Total
21,956
100.00
1,147,862
100.00
(1) The UK figure (1,147,862) is less than the total in Table 1 because it excludes GVA for Extra-Regio, which comprises compensation of employees and gross operating surplus which cannot be assigned to regions.
Source ONS - Local Gross Value Added

This page was compiled by Bryan Moulding .

All enquiries from the media should be sent to Corporate.Communications@lancashire.gov.uk .

Any other questions about the content of this page may be sent to EconInfo@lancashire.gov.uk .

For all enquiries about the county council's services , contact the Customer Service Centre on 0845 0530000 (01772 530000) or at Enquiries@css.lancscc.gov.uk .

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